Medicaid cuts totaling over $940B are triggering the biggest financial shakeup health systems have faced in decades — driving up uncompensated care, shrinking margins, and exposing serious gaps in revenue operations. In this post, AKASA co-founder and healthcare economist Ben Beadle-Ryby breaks down what’s coming, why mid-cycle is your most controllable lever, and how generative AI is already helping leading hospitals recover revenue, reduce denials, and protect quality scores.
The American healthcare system is no stranger to financial headwinds — but the convergence of recent events has created something far more ominous: a perfect storm.
Margins, already razor thin, are now at their most fragile in recent memory. They have been battered by a confluence of events over the past four years. The pandemic upended care volumes and case mix. The 2024 Change Healthcare cyberattack exposed system vulnerabilities. And payers, flush with record profits, have doubled down on aggressive AI-driven claims scrutiny, causing denials to surge. Since 2020, initial denial rates have risen from 10% to nearly 12%, while overturn rates have quietly slipped to just 54%.
Layered atop that: rising labor costs, clinician burnout, and relentless operational complexity.
Amidst this storm, providers now face a new tidal wave: the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Signed into law on July 4, 2025, it ushers in over $1 trillion in federal healthcare cuts. The scope of the impact is difficult to overstate:
This is not simply a financial challenge. It’s a structural reset for healthcare. For hospitals, the message is clear: adapt or face existential risk.
In the face of this oncoming wave, one technology force has emerged as both unprecedented and essential: generative AI (GenAI).
Because for the first time, we have the technology to do something truly transformational.
At its core, generative AI is powered by large language models (LLMs), AI systems trained on vast amounts of data that can understand, interpret, and generate human language with remarkable nuance and context. These models represent a breakthrough in how machines can reason through ambiguity, synthesize massive volumes of information, and produce accurate, contextually aware responses in real time.
Most people have experienced the magic of GenAI through OpenAI’s ChatGPT (or through a similar competitive prompt-based application), but their impact goes well beyond prompting for vacation itinerary ideas or wedding speech support. If ChatGPT was the tip of the spear, enterprise-grade LLMs are the full arsenal.
These models aren’t just answering prompts. They’re rewiring how work gets done across different industries.
These aren’t pilots. They’re live. They’re delivering ROI. They’re redefining what productivity looks like. They’re redefining industry as we know it.
And now, it’s healthcare’s turn.
Want more details about this technology? Read 10 Things Healthcare Leaders Need To Know About LLMs and Generative AI.
Healthcare leaders tend to fixate on GenAI’s clinical potential, of which there is certainly significant potential. But the first wedge won’t be surgery. It will be operations.
At Mayo Clinic, LLMs are already being deployed to accelerate intake and summarize clinical histories ahead of visits. Physicians report more relevant notes, less prep time, and fewer duplicative questions.
But perhaps the clearest signal is in revenue cycle, the unsexy but vital machinery that determines whether a hospital gets paid accurately and timely.
Nowhere is margin improvement potential more tangible, or more urgent, than in revenue cycle, where health systems spend 2.5% to 4.5% of net patient revenue (NPR) just to capture most of the revenue (I say most because net revenue yield is at 93% for the median performing systems).
In revenue cycle, where does GenAI hit the hardest? In the heart of mid-cycle operations with clinical documentation improvement (CDI) and coding. Here, the human task is staggering:
So when we audit subsets of these coded claims and find errors, it’s not just understandable human error. It begs the question: why can’t technology help coders more?
With GenAI, we can.
For health systems, the collective administrative burden is enormous. Many large systems employ or contract hundreds of qualified coders, tens of millions of annual labor spend. Because the consequences of under-resourcing this are just too big…
But due to the complexity of a single inpatient claim outlined above, the revenue lost and quality inaccuracies from coding errors or omissions become impossible to ignore.
GenAI changes the equation.
In short, it can help achieve more accurate quality and ensure fair and accurate revenue for care delivered.
A $1B NPR regional health system: This organization has not only seen quality improvement, but has fairly boosted in revenue by more than 20 basis points after deploying AKASA Coding Optimizer.
An academic medical center: Leveraged Coding Optimizer to improve coding accuracy, resulting in material quality gains:
This is not theoretical. It’s real results delivering real ROI. And it’s happening now.
If 2025 is the year of preparation, 2026 will be the year the tidal wave hits the bottom line of health systems. Fortunately, they don’t need to rip-and-replace or overhaul their infrastructure to prepare and get immediate revenue performance improvements from GenAI.
A practical, achievable roadmap exists — and it starts with AKASA’s three-phase approach:
Start with full visibility:
Put GenAI in the hands of your team:
Let GenAI take the lead:
Get speed to value:
Interested in implementing this technology? Get the best practices in this step-by-step resource: Generative AI: A How-To Guide for HIM Leaders.
What lies ahead isn’t merely challenging, it’s historic. The fiscal reshaping of the healthcare safety net is already in motion. Hospitals that move now will be positioned to absorb the shock. Those who delay will find themselves under water.
Generative AI isn’t just innovation — it’s future infrastructure.
It’s how we protect margins, reduce burnout, and improve care in the face of daunting pressure. It has the transformational potential that the industry has been seeking for more than 15 years.
Let’s build the future of healthcare with intelligence and resilience. Let’s start today.
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Ben Beadle-Ryby is a senior vice president and co-founder of AKASA. Beadle-Ryby has nearly 15 years of experience as a healthcare economist, specializing in technology and consulting solutions to address financial challenges for hospitals and health systems. Prior to AKASA, Beadle-Ryby was a partner at the Advisory Board Company and at Optum, leading revenue cycle consulting growth and delivery. During his career, he has worked with more than 200 provider organizations across the country, delivering long-term operational improvements. Beadle-Ryby has a degree in mathematical economics from Colorado College.